Hope & Despair

A living atlas, revised in the open.

The world is getting better. The world is getting worse. Both are true.

One question at a time, answered only with open data. We read each at two distances: the long arc of the centuries, and the world as it feels this year. The answer usually changes between them, and the change is the point.

The atlas10 questions, each read at two distances

Every line is one question’s signature measure, drawn from its own evidence. The colour is where the honest answer leans: toward hope, toward despair, or genuinely both. The mix is the finding.

  1. 00The Whole Questionin progress

    Is the world getting better or worse?

    Child mortality, under age five

    Winning the old fights, losing the new ones.

  2. 01War & Peace

    Is humanity becoming less violent?

    Violent deaths

    Long-run collapse, short-run reversal.

  3. 02Health

    Are we beating disease and death?

    Life expectancy at birth

    Better than it feels.

  4. 03Climate

    Is the climate stabilizing or breaking?

    Global temperature anomaly

    Long-run despair, a hopeful recent turn.

  5. 04Poverty

    Is the world winning against poverty?

    Living under $3 a day

    The great escape, half-finished and slowing.

  6. 06Energy

    Is the green transition actually happening?

    Share of electricity from wind and solar

    Happening fast, arriving slow.

  7. 07Energy

    Is the electric-car revolution real?

    Share of new cars sold that are electric

    The sales flipped; the fleet hasn’t.

  8. 05Wealth & Growth

    Are poor countries catching up?

    GDP per capita, PPP

    Converging for people, not for places.

  9. 08Population

    Is the world running out of children?

    Children per woman, worldwide

    A liberation and a reckoning at once.

  10. 09Knowledge

    Who shapes science now?

    Scholarly works published per year

    Open, global, unequal.

Be joyful
though you have considered
all the facts.
Wendell Berry Manifesto: The Mad Farmer Liberation Front, 1973
How to read this

One question at a time

Each article asks a single honest question and answers it only with open, cited data. Every number traces to its source.

Read at every distance

The same measure, seen from the ten-thousand-year arc and from a single year. The verdict often reverses between the two, and that reversal is the thing worth seeing.

Three temperatures

Every chart is read three ways: hope, despair, and confusion, which gets equal billing here, never a footnote.

Browse by domain The Whole Question The keystone. Every dimension of “is the world getting better or worse?”, read in one place. Start here
On hope & despair

Both are always true. The work is deciding which one you are looking at, and being honest about the lens.

  • Things can be bad, and getting better.
    Hans RoslingFactfulness
  • Pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will.
    Antonio GramsciPrison Notebooks
  • Not everything that is faced can be changed, but nothing can be changed until it is faced.
    James BaldwinAs Much Truth As One Can Bear
  • Hope is not the conviction that something will turn out well, but the certainty that something makes sense, regardless of how it turns out.
    Václav HavelDisturbing the Peace
  • In the depth of winter, I finally learned that within me there lay an invincible summer.
    Albert CamusReturn to Tipasa
  • To be truly radical is to make hope possible, rather than despair convincing.
    Raymond WilliamsResources of Hope
  • We must cultivate our garden.
    VoltaireCandide
  • Hope is the necessary, but insufficient, precondition for survival.
    Cory Doctorowon hope vs. optimism

Revised in the open · data and prose are open and cited · CC BY 4.0